How weather and climate questions work on Myriad Markets, an on chain prediction platform with real money markets in some places and a points mode in others. Information, not advice. As of December 2025.
Last reviewed 26 December 2025 · Facts as of December 2025 · Illustrative editorial examples
On Myriad, a weather and climate market is a contract on a clearly defined question that settles against a written rule, the named source and date set before trading. A correct side pays one dollar and the other pays nothing, so the price between 1 and 99 cents reads as the implied probability.
Crypto-native protocol outside US regulation; standing for US persons is unsettled.
Always read the specific market's resolution rule, not the headline. Fees and spreads reduce real returns, and availability can change.
Myriad is an on chain prediction platform where outcomes trade as shares, and weather or climate questions, such as whether a temperature or a storm count crosses a threshold against an official dataset, fit that format. Whether a given question is listed and whether it is real money or points depends on where you are, so confirm on the platform. As of December 2025.
Both, depending on the jurisdiction. Myriad has run a points based mode with no cash value and has also offered real money markets settled in a stablecoin in some places. Users where real money trading is not permitted may only see the points mode. Confirm what applies to you before acting. As of December 2025.
Access depends on where you are. Because Myriad is an on chain platform using crypto rails, real money markets may not be open to United States users, who can be limited to the points mode or to browsing. Confirm your own eligibility and the current rules before considering it. As of December 2025.
Each outcome trades as a share priced between zero and one, and that price reads as the market implied probability. A share near seventy cents implies the crowd assigns roughly a seventy percent chance, not a certainty, and a winning share settles at one when the question resolves.
See the weather and climate category guide for how these markets work across platforms, and the legality hub for where each platform is available to you.
These contracts trade on a regulated venue and settle against a written rule. Read the primary source and the specific market rule before you act.
Facts as of December 2025. General information, not financial or betting advice.