A neutral, dated guide to world events and geopolitics markets on Polymarket, which returned to US users under a CFTC amended order of designation. How they settle, what they cost, and where they are available. Information, not advice. As of October 2025.
Last reviewed 6 October 2025 · Facts as of October 2025 · Illustrative editorial examples
On Polymarket, a world events and geopolitics market is a contract on a clearly defined question that settles against a written rule, the named source and date set before trading. A correct side pays one dollar and the other pays nothing, so the price between 1 and 99 cents reads as the implied probability.
Began intermediated US access in December 2025 through a CFTC-licensed exchange and clearinghouse; standing is improving but newer than Kalshi.
Always read the specific market's resolution rule, not the headline. Fees and spreads reduce real returns, and availability can change.
Yes. World events and geopolitics have long been a core part of its menu. As of October 2025 Polymarket has returned to US users under a CFTC amended order of designation. Availability depends on your state and account. This is general information, not advice, as of October 2025.
It returned to US users at the end of 2025 under an amended order of designation from the Commodity Futures Trading Commission, reached after acquiring a federally regulated US exchange. Access runs through the intermediated, regulated route, and availability still depends on your state. Confirm your eligibility. As of October 2025.
Each market has a written resolution rule naming what resolves it and when. Geopolitical questions can hinge on a precise definition or source, so read the rule carefully. Disputes over resolution are not unknown in this category. As of October 2025.
Possibly. Tax treatment of event contract gains depends on your situation and jurisdiction, and we do not give tax advice. Keep your own records and speak to a qualified professional. As of October 2025.
Not necessarily. Availability depends on your state and account status, and the picture can change. Confirm your own eligibility on the platform and see our legality pages before assuming a market is open to you. As of October 2025.
These contracts trade on a regulated venue and settle against a written rule. Read the primary source and the specific market rule before you act.
Facts as of October 2025. General information, not financial or betting advice.