A neutral, dated look at world events and geopolitics questions on ForecastEx, the CFTC regulated event contract exchange owned by Interactive Brokers. How it works, what it lists, and where it is available. Information, not advice. As of December 2025.
Last reviewed 21 December 2025 · Facts as of December 2025 · Illustrative editorial examples
On ForecastEx, a world events and geopolitics market is a contract on a clearly defined question that settles against a written rule, the named source and date set before trading. A correct side pays one dollar and the other pays nothing, so the price between 1 and 99 cents reads as the implied probability.
CFTC-regulated exchange and clearinghouse owned by Interactive Brokers, very strong standing.
Always read the specific market's resolution rule, not the headline. Fees and spreads reduce real returns, and availability can change.
ForecastEx is a CFTC regulated exchange whose catalogue centers on economic and climate questions. World events and geopolitics questions appear where it chooses to list them rather than as a deep standing category. This is general information, not advice, as of December 2025.
ForecastEx is a designated contract market and clearing organization registered with the Commodity Futures Trading Commission, the federal regulator for these contracts in the United States. It is a subsidiary of Interactive Brokers.
Eligible Interactive Brokers clients trade ForecastEx contracts through an interface called ForecastTrader. Confirm your own eligibility and that the specific contract is listed before you act.
Fees are set by the exchange and have included an incentive coupon mechanism. We do not publish a figure because the details can change. Read the current schedule on the exchange and through Interactive Brokers before you trade.
Each contract settles in cash to one dollar for the correct outcome and nothing for the other, on a defined source and date. For a geopolitical question the wording of the resolution rule is decisive, so read it closely before you act.
These contracts trade on a regulated venue and settle against a written rule. Read the primary source and the specific market rule before you act.
Facts as of December 2025. General information, not financial or betting advice.