General information, not financial, investment, legal, tax or betting advice · Prediction markets carry risk of loss · 18+ or the legal age in your region
Prediction MarketIndex
Prediction Market Index/Legality/Chile
Legality by placeSouth America · Chile

Are prediction markets legal in Chile, while reform is debated?

A plain, dated guide to prediction market legality in Chile. The platforms are reachable and have not been specifically classified, but online gambling outside a few authorised operators is unlawful, courts have ordered broad site blocks, and a reform bill is moving through the Senate. Information, not legal advice. As of May 2026.

By Fredrik FilipssonFounder and editor · Two decades in advisory, hospitality and mediaEditorial review by Morten Andersen · Last reviewed 16 May 2026

Last reviewed 16 May 2026 · Status as of May 2026 · Information, not legal advice

Unregulated grey area
Unregulated grey area
Reachable and not specifically classified, but online gambling enforcement and a reform bill make the position unsettled.
Information, not advice. This page is general information, not financial, legal, tax, or betting advice. Prediction markets carry a real risk of loss. You must be 18+ or the legal age in your region.
Quick answer

As of May 2026, prediction markets sit in an unregulated grey area in Chile. Online gambling is unlawful unless expressly authorised, and only bodies such as Polla Chilena de Beneficencia, Loteria de Concepcion, licensed racetracks and casinos operate lawfully. Regulators have not classified prediction markets as gambling, securities or crypto products, so platforms such as Polymarket remain reachable, but a September 2025 Supreme Court ruling ordered providers to block hundreds of unauthorised gambling sites and a comprehensive online gambling bill is under debate. Treat the position as unsettled and confirm the live rules before you act.

How the rules stack up

Authorised, or not allowed.

01
The gambling baseline
Chile permits online gambling only where it is expressly authorised. The lawful operators are limited bodies such as Polla Chilena de Beneficencia, Loteria de Concepcion, licensed racetracks and casinos regulated by the Superintendencia de Casinos de Juego. Everything outside that is unauthorised.
02
The court enforcement
In September 2025 the Supreme Court ordered internet providers to block access to a large number of unauthorised online gambling websites, reported in the hundreds. Prediction markets were not named in that ruling, but it shows the appetite to block unlicensed betting at the network level.
03
How prediction markets sit
Chilean regulators have not classified prediction markets as gambling, securities or crypto products, so they have not been specifically targeted. Crypto trading itself is legal and is regulated under the 2023 Fintech Law, Ley 21.521, supervised by the Comisión para el Mercado Financiero.
04
The reform on the table
A comprehensive online gambling bill has been moving through the Senate that would create a licensing regime, with the Superintendencia de Casinos de Juego central to it and a tax on licensed operators. If prediction markets are later read as online gambling, they could fall inside that framework or the blocking one.
Why this is the answer

Not named is not the same as allowed.

Chile runs an authorised list model for gambling. If an operator is not on the authorised list, it is not permitted, even if it has not been singled out. Prediction markets have not been specifically classified, which is why Polymarket remains reachable, but that silence is a gap rather than a permission, and the courts have already shown they will order broad blocks of unlicensed betting.

The honest grey area

The honest uncertainty is how prediction markets get classified as the reform settles. If they are read as online gambling, the existing blocking framework or a new licensing regime could apply. If they are read as a financial product, the Fintech Law and the CMF could be relevant. We mark the position as an unregulated grey area with a real risk of future blocking.

For a reader here

Where the platforms stand for a Chilean reader.

No prediction market is on Chile’s authorised list and none is licensed here, so there is no authorised venue to recommend and no open account module on this page. The standing below is informational.

Reachable and not specifically classified, but unauthorised under the gambling baseline. The September 2025 blocking ruling shows unlicensed betting sites can be ordered blocked. Treat use as unregulated.
Unregulated
Built for the United States market and not licensed in Chile. Generally restricts access outside its served jurisdictions.
Not offered
A real money prediction market with no Chilean authorisation. Its treatment under the gambling baseline is unsettled.
Unregulated
US regulated exchanges
CFTC registered venues such as Robinhood, Crypto.com and ForecastEx serve the United States and do not offer service to Chilean residents.
Not offered
Onchain venues
Crypto native venues operate outside Chilean authorisation. Their standing for a resident is contested and carries added risk around funds and recourse.
Contested

Standing is indicative and as of May 2026. We link to a platform only where it is genuinely available and authorised for a reader here, and we mark contested or blocked positions as such. We do not treat reachability through a browser as legality.

Regulator and sources
Who to check.

For gambling the relevant body is the Superintendencia de Casinos de Juego, and broad enforcement has come through the courts. For financial and crypto products the supervisor is the Comisión para el Mercado Financiero, the CMF, under the Fintech Law. Confirm the live position with them directly.

  • September 2025 Supreme Court order directing providers to block hundreds of unauthorised online gambling sites (igamingexpert and ECIJA analysis).
  • Reporting that Chilean regulators have not classified prediction markets as gambling, securities or crypto products, with crypto regulated under the Fintech Law, Ley 21.521.
  • For a regulator that has classified these products, see our United States legality overview.

Status as of May 2026. We never invent a citation, and where a position is contested we say so.

A note on risk,

An unregulated product is not a safe one, and access today does not guarantee access tomorrow. Prediction markets can lose you money. Stake only what you can afford to lose, never to chase a loss, and never on borrowed money. If gambling is causing you harm in Chile, seek support from a local health or counselling service.

FAQ

Chile, answered plainly.

Are prediction markets legal in Chile?

As of May 2026 they are reachable but unregulated. Regulators have not classified them as gambling, securities or crypto products, yet online gambling is only lawful where expressly authorised, so they sit in a grey area rather than being clearly permitted. This is general information, not legal advice.

Is Polymarket blocked in Chile?

No. Polymarket remains reachable and was not named in the September 2025 Supreme Court order that blocked hundreds of unauthorised gambling sites. That ruling shows, however, that unlicensed betting sites can be blocked at the network level.

Who regulates gambling in Chile?

Lawful gambling is limited to authorised bodies, with casinos overseen by the Superintendencia de Casinos de Juego. Broad enforcement against unlicensed sites has come through the courts. Crypto and financial products fall to the CMF under the Fintech Law.

Could prediction markets be banned in Chile?

It is possible. If they are later classified as online gambling, the existing blocking framework or the reform bill moving through the Senate could apply. Treat the grey area as the current position and verify before relying on it.

Is crypto legal in Chile?

Crypto trading is legal and is regulated under the 2023 Fintech Law, Ley 21.521, supervised by the CMF. That does not by itself make a crypto native prediction market authorised, since the gambling question is separate.

Keep reading
Legality hub
Every place, one index
Learn
How prediction markets actually work
Platform profile
Polymarket, rated and reviewed

Legality elsewhere

The Forecast

When a rule changes, you hear it first.

A weekly note on legality, fees, and the questions worth asking before you act. Information, never a tip.

No tips, no picks, no spam. Information, not advice. Unsubscribe anytime.