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Leverage

Leverage is using borrowed money, or a deposit smaller than the full position, to control a larger market exposure than your own cash alone would allow. It scales up both the gains and the losses.

By Fredrik FilipssonFounder and editor · Two decades in advisory, hospitality and mediaEditorial review by Morten Andersen · Last reviewed 11 September 2025

Last reviewed 11 September 2025 · Educational, not advice

Information, not advice. This page is general information, not financial, investment, legal, tax, or betting advice. Prediction markets carry a real risk of loss. You must be 18 plus or the legal age in your region.
In plain terms

A bigger position than your cash, with bigger swings.

Leverage means controlling a position worth more than the cash you have put down. You do this by borrowing the difference, or by posting a margin deposit that is only a fraction of the full value. The appeal is that a given move in the market produces a larger result relative to your own money. The catch is that this works in both directions, so a small move against you can erase your deposit quickly.

A simple way to see it is through notional value. If you put up 1,000 dollars and use it to control a position with a notional value of 5,000 dollars, you have five times leverage. A move of ten percent in the underlying is a 500 dollar swing, which is half of your deposit rather than a tenth of it. The same leverage that turns a good call into an outsized gain turns a bad one into an outsized loss, and in some leveraged products you can lose more than your deposit and owe the balance.

This is where event contracts differ from much of leveraged trading. Many prediction market and event contract products are fully collateralized. That means you pay the full price of the contract up front, somewhere between one cent and 99 cents, and the most you can lose is what you paid. There is no margin call and no borrowed money behind the position. Your maximum exposure is known and capped at the moment you trade.

That said, the picture is not uniform. Some venues and some products do offer leverage or margin, and the rules vary by platform, by product, and by jurisdiction. Whether leverage is available, and on what terms, is a specific feature of a specific platform, so never assume one way or the other. Check the product documents and the platform's own terms before you act.

The practical takeaway is that leverage changes the risk of a position far more than it changes the potential reward in any comfortable sense. It can speed up a drawdown and raise the risk of ruin to a level many people underestimate. Understanding whether a product carries leverage is one of the first things to establish before committing money. This page is general information, not financial advice.

A worked example

Two traders both want exposure of 5,000 dollars. One posts the full 5,000 dollars, so a ten percent loss costs 500 dollars and leaves 4,500 dollars. The other posts 1,000 dollars at five times leverage, so the same ten percent loss is still 500 dollars but it is half of their deposit. The position is identical, the pain is not.

Illustrative only. Numbers are examples, not a quote or a prediction.

A note on risk,

Leverage can turn a manageable loss into a damaging one, and it is the fastest route to losing more than you planned. Trading carries a real risk of loss. Stake only what you can afford to lose, never to chase a loss, and never on borrowed money. If it stops feeling like a free choice, step back. In the United States you can call or text the helpline on 1-800-GAMBLER or visit ncpgambling.org.

Common questions

Answered plainly.

What is leverage?

Leverage is using borrowed money, or a margin deposit smaller than the full position, to control a larger exposure than your own cash alone would allow. It magnifies both gains and losses.

Do prediction markets use leverage?

Many event contract platforms are fully collateralized, which means you put up the full cost of the contract and cannot lose more than you paid. Some derivatives venues do offer leverage. Always check the specific platform and product.

Why is leverage risky?

Because losses are scaled up in the same way gains are. A small adverse move can wipe out your deposit, and in some products you can owe more than you put in.

Is leverage the same as borrowing?

It is a form of it. Leverage uses borrowed funds or a partial deposit so your market exposure is larger than your own capital. The borrowed portion still has to be repaid regardless of the outcome.

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